Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.083056 0.095957 0.110197 0.127081 0.146558 0.168326 0.194511
2026-01-11 0.063304 0.080781 0.102046 0.129830 0.165196 0.208751 0.266535
2026-01-18 0.051973 0.071105 0.096026 0.130879 0.178416 0.241077 0.330129
2026-01-25 0.043419 0.062867 0.089647 0.129235 0.186354 0.265937 0.385560
2026-02-01 0.036356 0.055286 0.082636 0.125053 0.189308 0.283229 0.431434
2026-02-08 0.032450 0.051561 0.080383 0.127047 0.200882 0.313541 0.499218
2026-02-15 0.028954 0.047886 0.077578 0.127573 0.209889 0.340508 0.564513
2026-02-22 0.026294 0.045128 0.075757 0.129236 0.220590 0.370902 0.638347
2026-03-01 0.023262 0.041330 0.071725 0.126628 0.223697 0.388919 0.693186
2026-03-08 0.020788 0.038159 0.068331 0.124601 0.227369 0.407972 0.751539
2026-03-15 0.019159 0.036275 0.066918 0.125831 0.236792 0.437802 0.832174
2026-03-22 0.018352 0.035790 0.067926 0.131528 0.254899 0.484963 0.949842
2026-03-29 0.017265 0.034677 0.067703 0.134986 0.269382 0.527351 1.064168
2026-04-05 0.016206 0.033497 0.067226 0.137903 0.283170 0.569957 1.184071
2026-04-12 0.015059 0.031998 0.065941 0.139018 0.293400 0.606534 1.295787
2026-04-19 0.013748 0.029999 0.063419 0.137272 0.297474 0.630991 1.384855
2026-04-26 0.012333 0.027610 0.059824 0.132830 0.295290 0.642126 1.446455
2026-05-03 0.011641 0.026717 0.059294 0.134947 0.307535 0.685109 1.582825
2026-05-10 0.010885 0.025591 0.058128 0.135506 0.316329 0.721410 1.708100
2026-05-17 0.010288 0.024763 0.057530 0.137272 0.328030 0.765324 1.855807
2026-05-24 0.009424 0.023207 0.055107 0.134502 0.328793 0.784263 1.946310
2026-05-31 0.008684 0.021865 0.053041 0.132349 0.330777 0.806210 2.046520
2026-06-07 0.008224 0.021162 0.052420 0.133655 0.341361 0.849765 2.205337